Live Kalshi prediction market odds cross-referenced with our model probabilities. Course profile, historical signals, and real-time edge detection.
Augusta rewards precision over power. Elite approach play (SG: APP) is the dominant predictor — players must hit long irons into sloped, fast greens from challenging angles. Around-the-green scrambling (SG: ARG) matters on every hole. Course history is meaningful: comfort with Augusta's undulation, wind patterns, and Amen Corner separates winners from contenders.
| YEAR | WINNER | WORLD RANK | SG:APP RANK | SIGNALS HIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Scottie Scheffler | #1 | #1 | WR TOP10 SG:APP TOP10 PREV TOP5 |
| 2023 | Jon Rahm | #3 | #3 | WR TOP10 SG:APP TOP10 PREV TOP5 |
| 2022 | Scottie Scheffler | #8 | #5 | WR TOP10 SG:APP TOP10 |
| 2021 | Hideki Matsuyama | #25 | #11 | — |
| 2020 | Dustin Johnson | #1 | #4 | WR TOP10 SG:APP TOP10 |
| 2019 | Tiger Woods | #12 | #14 | PREV TOP5 |
| 2018 | Patrick Reed | #11 | #24 | — |
| 2017 | Sergio Garcia | #12 | #9 | SG:APP TOP10 |
| 2016 | Danny Willett | #12 | #22 | — |
| 2015 | Jordan Spieth | #3 | #7 | WR TOP10 SG:APP TOP10 |
No edge opportunities detected yet. Check back closer to tournament week.
Open an account and start trading prediction markets today.
Kalshi implied probabilities vs sportsbook consensus. Ranked by Top 5 odds. Edge = Books − Kalshi (positive = Kalshi is cheap).
| # | PLAYER | WIN | TOP 5 | BOOKS T5 | BEST EDGE | TOP 10 | TOP 20 | CUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAVORITES | ||||||||
| 1 | Doug Ghim | 5.2% | 19% | — |
—
|
31% | 48% | 84% |
| 2 | Tom Kim | 4.8% | 18% | — |
—
|
30% | 47% | 84% |
| 3 | Wyndham Clark | 4.8% | 18% | — |
—
|
29% | 45% | 82% |
| 4 | Ben James | 4.3% | 17% | — |
—
|
28% | 44% | 82% |
| 5 | Ben Griffin | 4.0% | 16% | — |
—
|
27% | 44% | 82% |
| 6 | Corey Conners | 3.0% | 13% | — |
—
|
23% | 39% | 80% |
| 7 | Andrew Novak | 2.6% | 11% | — |
—
|
20% | 35% | 77% |
| 8 | Johnny Keefer | 2.6% | 11% | — |
—
|
20% | 34% | 76% |
| CONTENDERS | ||||||||
| 9 | Harry Hall | 2.1% | 10% | — |
—
|
19% | 34% | 77% |
| 10 | Blades Brown | 2.2% | 10% | — |
—
|
18% | 32% | 76% |
| 11 | Neal Shipley | 1.9% | 9% | — |
—
|
16% | 30% | 74% |
| 12 | Jackson Suber | 1.9% | 9% | — |
—
|
16% | 29% | 73% |
| 13 | Rico Hoey | 1.8% | 8% | — |
—
|
16% | 30% | 74% |
| 14 | David Ford | 1.8% | 8% | — |
—
|
16% | 29% | 73% |
| 15 | Kristoffer Ventura | 1.8% | 8% | — |
—
|
15% | 29% | 73% |
| 16 | Marco Penge | 1.9% | 8% | — |
—
|
15% | 28% | 71% |
| 17 | Zach Bauchou | 1.6% | 8% | — |
—
|
16% | 30% | 75% |
| 18 | Max Homa | 1.7% | 8% | — |
—
|
15% | 28% | 73% |
| 19 | Taylor Moore | 1.6% | 8% | — |
—
|
15% | 28% | 72% |
| 20 | Keita Nakajima | 1.6% | 7% | — |
—
|
14% | 27% | 71% |
| DARK HORSES | ||||||||
| 21 | Jordan Smith | 1.5% | 7% | — |
—
|
14% | 27% | 72% |
| 22 | Kevin Roy | 1.5% | 7% | — |
—
|
14% | 26% | 72% |
| 23 | Kevin Yu | 1.3% | 7% | — |
—
|
14% | 26% | 72% |
| 24 | Trace Crowe | 1.4% | 7% | — |
—
|
13% | 26% | 71% |
| 25 | Austin Eckroat | 1.2% | 6% | — |
—
|
13% | 25% | 71% |
| 26 | Mac Meissner | 1.1% | 6% | — |
—
|
12% | 25% | 71% |
| 27 | Steven Fisk | 1.1% | 6% | — |
—
|
12% | 24% | 70% |
| 28 | Mackenzie Hughes | 1.0% | 6% | — |
—
|
12% | 23% | 69% |
| 29 | Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 1.0% | 6% | — |
—
|
11% | 22% | 69% |
| 30 | Max Greyserman | 1.1% | 5% | — |
—
|
11% | 22% | 67% |
| 31 | Luke Clanton | 0.9% | 5% | — |
—
|
11% | 22% | 68% |
| 32 | Pierceson Coody | 1.0% | 5% | — |
—
|
11% | 21% | 67% |
| 33 | Lee Hodges | 0.9% | 5% | — |
—
|
11% | 22% | 69% |
| 34 | Beau Hossler | 0.9% | 5% | — |
—
|
10% | 21% | 66% |
| 35 | Zecheng Dou | 0.9% | 5% | — |
—
|
10% | 20% | 67% |
| 36 | Billy Horschel | 0.8% | 5% | — |
—
|
10% | 21% | 68% |
| 37 | Patrick Fishburn | 0.9% | 5% | — |
—
|
10% | 20% | 66% |
| 38 | Patrick Rodgers | 0.8% | 4% | — |
—
|
9% | 19% | 66% |
| 39 | Tony Finau | 0.8% | 4% | — |
—
|
9% | 19% | 64% |
| 40 | Taylor Pendrith | 0.8% | 4% | — |
—
|
9% | 19% | 65% |
Austin Smotherman captured his second straight FedEx Cup Fall event Monday morning when he outlasted Seamus Power of Ireland with …
READ MORE →Yuto Katsuragawa secured his second DP World Tour title with a two-shot victory at the Genesis Championship in South Korea.…
READ MORE →LIV Golf CEO Scott O'Neil was given a retention payment of $6.375 million less than three months before the tour filed for Chapter…
READ MORE →Chandler Blanchet and Kensei Hirata of Japan share the lead going into the weekend at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship.…
READ MORE →Ian Poulter and Tyrrell Hatton are among a group of golfers who announced Friday that they won't be a part of LIV Golf 2.0.…
READ MORE →With his sights on the season-long Race to Dubai title, South African golfer Casey Jarvis shot 4-under 67 in the second round of t…
READ MORE →Chandler Blanchet made a pair of eagles to post his best score of the year -- a 9-under 62 -- on Thursday.…
READ MORE →Tony Kornheiser and Michael Wilbon kick off PTI 25 with their top headlines…
READ MORE →Open an account and start trading prediction markets today.