VidantaWorld Mexico Open · Prediction Edge Report

Player	Win (model)	Win ask	T5 (model)	T5 ask	T10 (model)	T10 ask	T20 (model)	T20 ask
Doug Ghim	5.2%	—	21.5%	—	34.0%	—	51.5%	—
Wyndham Clark	4.8%	—	20.2%	—	32.2%	—	48.5%	—
Tom Kim	4.8%	—	20.7%	—	33.0%	—	50.3%	—
Ben James	4.3%	—	19.1%	—	30.7%	—	47.4%	—
Ben Griffin	4.0%	—	18.2%	—	30.1%	—	47.1%	—
Corey Conners	3.0%	—	14.9%	—	25.5%	—	42.2%	—
Andrew Novak	2.6%	—	13.4%	—	23.2%	—	38.6%	—
Johnny Keefer	2.6%	—	12.7%	—	22.2%	—	37.1%	—
Blades Brown	2.2%	—	11.4%	—	20.4%	—	35.3%	—
Harry Hall	2.1%	—	12.2%	—	21.6%	—	37.4%	—
Neal Shipley	1.9%	—	10.3%	—	18.7%	—	33.0%	—
Jackson Suber	1.9%	—	10.1%	—	18.3%	—	31.6%	—
Marco Penge	1.9%	—	9.6%	—	17.2%	—	30.5%	—
David Ford	1.8%	—	9.9%	—	17.9%	—	31.8%	—
Kristoffer Ventura	1.8%	—	9.7%	—	17.8%	—	31.9%	—

PLAYS FOUND

CONFIRMED SIGNALS

AVG EDGE

12.1pt

BEST EDGE

+12.1pt

KEY ·STRONG BUY≥ 15pt edgeBUY8–15pt edgeLEAN4–8pt edgeFADEoverpriced — avoidPASSno edge

#	RANK	PLAYER	PLAY	PRICE / SIDE	IMPLIED	WIN PROB	BOOKS AVG	EDGE	SIGNAL	CONTRACTS
1	★★★☆☆	Adrien Dumont De ChassartMAKE CUT THIN MARKET	BUY	-105 51¢ YES	51%	63% bet wins	64% (62%–65%) TIGHT	+12.1pt	NO BOOKS	20

Adrien Dumont De Chassart MAKE CUT YES BUY NO BOOKS -105 · 51¢ 63% WIN THIN MARKET TRADE →

T112 — 47 spots outside · DG: 62.8%

Dumont De Chassart's +0.209 strokes gained around-the-green and elite putting (+0.362) directly counter the venue's demand for approach precision—his negative…

Adrien Dumont De Chassart MAKE CUT BUY +12.1pt NO BOOKS

▲ COLLAPSE

Dumont de Chassart's skill set is tailor-made for Vidanta Vallarta's demands. His SG:Approach of -0.139 and elite short-game edge (SG:ARG +0.209, SG:Putt +0.362) represent his two greatest strengths, and both are currency at a tropical resort course where approach precision into tight Bermuda greens and conversion efficiency separate field. The tight fairways and water will punish poor ball-striking (his SG:OTT sits at -0.595), but at Vallarta, the player who hits greens and makes putts advances—exactly the profile Dumont de Chassart has shown. His overall SG:Total of -0.163 masks a player whose strengths cluster precisely where this venue rewards them most.

Kalshi is pricing his make-cut probability at 51%, implying near coin-flip odds, while our model calculates 63%—a 12.1-point edge that reflects genuine inefficiency. The consensus sits at 63%, confirming the gap. Bookmakers have likely underweighted how effectively Dumont de Chassart's short-game prowess converts at a resort layout where ball-striking variance matters less than execution around and on the green. The market is pricing general course risk without properly crediting player-specific skill alignment.

The primary risk is volatility in putting—while his +0.362 SG:Putt is genuine, single-week stroke-gain variance at a new venue can swing sharply. Secondary risk: his SG:OTT weakness means if the fairway rough plays brutally or if wind amplifies accuracy demands, he could face difficult approach shots that even elite short-game play can't fully overcome. Monitor weather and rough depth at first-round practice.

Adrien Dumont De Chassart MAKE CUT BUY NO BOOKS KXPGAMAKECUT-VIMO26-DCHA

SG:TOT-0.16#184

SG:APP-0.14#204

BOOKS AVG64%TIGHT

FORM→ -0.16

VOL 50

FIT

59%

Dumont De Chassart's +0.209 strokes gained around-the-green and elite putting (+0.362) directly counter the venue's demand for approach precision—his negative approach mark masks a player who converts scrambles and short-game opportunities at exactly the rate this tropical layout rewards, making the cut on par-4 and par-5 recovery. Kalshi's 51¢ is a clear mispricing against a 63% consensus that books themselves won't touch, and the 12.1-point edge against an overround-free model means the market has undervalued his specific strength-to-course-fit alignment. This is a full-value YES bet at current levels.

ODDS

KALSHI-10551¢

DK-16062%

YES ASK

-105

51¢

+12.1pt

SPREAD 4¢

BUY YES
20 contracts
WIN +$10 · LOSE -$10

TRADE →

All players ranked by DataGolf win probability. Green edge = model above Kalshi price. Yellow = slight model lean. Opportunities above are filtered at ≥4% edge.

#	PLAYER	DG WIN	KALSHI WIN	EDGE	DG TOP10	KALSHI T10	EDGE	DG CUT	KALSHI CUT
1	Doug Ghim	5.2%	4¢	+1.2%	34.0%	35¢	-1.0%	84.0%	85¢
2	Wyndham Clark	4.8%	6¢	-1.2%	32.2%	35¢	-2.8%	82.0%	84¢
3	Tom Kim	4.8%	4¢	+0.8%	33.0%	35¢	-2.0%	83.5%	85¢
4	Ben James	4.3%	5¢	-0.7%	30.7%	32¢	-1.3%	81.9%	83¢
5	Ben Griffin	4.0%	4¢	-0.0%	30.1%	31¢	-0.9%	82.5%	84¢
6	Corey Conners	3.0%	2¢	+1.0%	25.5%	27¢	-1.5%	79.6%	81¢
7	Andrew Novak	2.6%	2¢	+0.6%	23.2%	23¢	+0.2%	77.2%	79¢
8	Johnny Keefer	2.6%	3¢	-0.4%	22.2%	26¢	-3.8%	76.2%	78¢
9	Blades Brown	2.2%	3¢	-0.8%	20.4%	23¢	-2.6%	75.5%	77¢
10	Harry Hall	2.1%	2¢	+0.1%	21.6%	23¢	-1.4%	77.2%	79¢
11	Neal Shipley	1.9%	2¢	-0.1%	18.7%	20¢	-1.3%	73.8%	76¢
12	Jackson Suber	1.9%	2¢	-0.1%	18.3%	20¢	-1.7%	72.5%	75¢
13	Marco Penge	1.9%	3¢	-1.1%	17.2%	20¢	-2.8%	71.2%	73¢
14	David Ford	1.8%	2¢	-0.2%	17.9%	19¢	-1.1%	73.3%	74¢
15	Kristoffer Ventura	1.8%	2¢	-0.2%	17.8%	20¢	-2.2%	73.1%	75¢
16	Rico Hoey	1.8%	2¢	-0.2%	18.4%	18¢	+0.4%	73.8%	75¢
17	Max Homa	1.7%	2¢	-0.3%	17.5%	20¢	-2.5%	73.1%	75¢
18	Zach Bauchou	1.6%	2¢	-0.4%	18.1%	19¢	-0.9%	74.7%	76¢
19	Taylor Moore	1.6%	2¢	-0.4%	16.9%	19¢	-2.1%	72.1%	74¢
20	Keita Nakajima	1.6%	2¢	-0.4%	16.7%	18¢	-1.3%	71.3%	73¢
21	Kevin Roy	1.5%	2¢	-0.5%	15.9%	18¢	-2.1%	71.7%	72¢
22	Jordan Smith	1.5%	2¢	-0.5%	16.3%	19¢	-2.7%	72.0%	74¢
23	Trace Crowe	1.4%	1¢	+0.4%	15.5%	17¢	-1.5%	71.1%	73¢
24	Kevin Yu	1.3%	2¢	-0.7%	16.1%	18¢	-1.9%	71.9%	73¢
25	Austin Eckroat	1.2%	1¢	+0.2%	15.0%	17¢	-2.0%	70.9%	73¢
26	Steven Fisk	1.1%	2¢	-0.9%	14.3%	17¢	-2.7%	69.6%	72¢
27	Mac Meissner	1.1%	2¢	-0.9%	14.6%	17¢	-2.4%	70.9%	73¢
28	Max Greyserman	1.1%	1¢	+0.1%	12.8%	15¢	-2.2%	67.1%	69¢
29	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	1.0%	2¢	-1.0%	13.1%	16¢	-2.9%	68.5%	71¢
30	Mackenzie Hughes	1.0%	1¢	+0.0%	13.5%	15¢	-1.5%	69.0%	71¢
31	Pierceson Coody	1.0%	1¢	-0.0%	12.4%	15¢	-2.6%	66.6%	69¢
32	Luke Clanton	0.9%	1¢	-0.1%	12.8%	15¢	-2.2%	68.5%	70¢
33	Zecheng Dou	0.9%	1¢	-0.1%	11.7%	14¢	-2.3%	66.6%	69¢
34	Lee Hodges	0.9%	1¢	-0.1%	12.5%	15¢	-2.5%	68.9%	71¢
35	Patrick Fishburn	0.9%	1¢	-0.1%	11.5%	14¢	-2.5%	65.7%	68¢
36	Beau Hossler	0.9%	1¢	-0.1%	11.9%	15¢	-3.1%	66.5%	69¢
37	Gordon Sargent	0.9%	1¢	-0.1%	10.3%	13¢	-2.7%	62.1%	64¢
38	Billy Horschel	0.8%	1¢	-0.2%	12.0%	15¢	-3.0%	67.7%	70¢
39	Patrick Rodgers	0.8%	1¢	-0.2%	11.0%	13¢	-2.0%	65.6%	68¢
40	Jesper Svensson	0.8%	1¢	-0.2%	10.1%	12¢	-1.9%	61.5%	63¢
41	Taylor Pendrith	0.8%	1¢	-0.2%	10.6%	13¢	-2.4%	65.3%	68¢
42	Tony Finau	0.8%	1¢	-0.2%	10.8%	13¢	-2.2%	64.2%	67¢
43	Rasmus Hojgaard	0.7%	1¢	-0.3%	9.7%	11¢	-1.3%	61.9%	64¢
44	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	0.7%	1¢	-0.3%	10.1%	13¢	-2.9%	63.8%	65¢
45	Kihei Akina	0.7%	1¢	-0.3%	10.7%	13¢	-2.3%	64.8%	66¢
46	A.J. Ewart	0.7%	1¢	-0.3%	10.4%	13¢	-2.6%	65.6%	68¢
47	Emiliano Grillo	0.7%	1¢	-0.3%	10.1%	12¢	-1.9%	65.4%	67¢
48	John Parry	0.7%	1¢	-0.3%	11.0%	13¢	-2.0%	68.4%	70¢
49	Max McGreevy	0.7%	1¢	-0.3%	10.8%	13¢	-2.2%	66.7%	68¢
50	Alvaro Ortiz	0.7%	1¢	-0.3%	10.2%	13¢	-2.8%	64.7%	67¢
51	Chandler Phillips	0.7%	0¢	—	9.9%	12¢	-2.1%	64.7%	67¢
52	Haotong Li	0.7%	1¢	-0.3%	9.8%	13¢	-3.2%	63.0%	65¢
53	William Mouw	0.7%	1¢	-0.4%	10.1%	13¢	-2.9%	64.0%	66¢
54	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.6%	1¢	-0.4%	10.9%	13¢	-2.1%	68.2%	70¢
55	Takumi Kanaya	0.6%	0¢	—	9.6%	11¢	-1.4%	66.3%	68¢
56	Denny McCarthy	0.6%	1¢	-0.4%	10.5%	13¢	-2.5%	66.9%	69¢
57	Hayden Springer	0.6%	1¢	-0.4%	8.8%	11¢	-2.2%	62.6%	65¢
58	Adrien Dumont De Chassart	0.5%	0¢	—	9.1%	5¢	+4.1%	62.8%	51¢
59	Zac Blair	0.5%	1¢	-0.5%	9.7%	12¢	-2.3%	67.0%	69¢
60	Karl Vilips	0.5%	0¢	—	8.3%	11¢	-2.7%	60.6%	63¢
61	Chad Ramey	0.5%	0¢	—	8.8%	11¢	-2.2%	63.3%	66¢
62	Danny Walker	0.5%	1¢	-0.5%	7.9%	10¢	-2.1%	58.6%	61¢
63	Alejandro Tosti	0.5%	1¢	-0.5%	7.1%	9¢	-1.9%	55.7%	58¢
64	John VanDerLaan	0.5%	0¢	—	7.7%	9¢	-1.3%	59.9%	62¢
65	Isaiah Salinda	0.5%	1¢	-0.5%	7.6%	10¢	-2.4%	58.8%	61¢
66	Davis Riley	0.5%	1¢	-0.5%	6.7%	9¢	-2.3%	56.0%	58¢
67	Chan Kim	0.5%	1¢	-0.5%	7.9%	10¢	-2.1%	61.1%	63¢
68	Aldrich Potgieter	0.4%	1¢	-0.6%	6.7%	9¢	-2.3%	54.3%	55¢
69	Kevin Streelman	0.4%	0¢	—	6.5%	8¢	-1.5%	58.4%	60¢
70	Matthieu Pavon	0.4%	0¢	—	6.6%	8¢	-1.4%	57.4%	59¢
71	Dylan Wu	0.4%	0¢	—	7.2%	9¢	-1.8%	61.1%	63¢
72	Ben Silverman	0.3%	0¢	—	6.8%	9¢	-2.2%	59.4%	62¢
73	Joel Dahmen	0.3%	0¢	—	7.0%	9¢	-2.0%	60.1%	62¢
74	Brice Garnett	0.3%	0¢	—	6.4%	9¢	-2.6%	58.8%	61¢
75	Ryder Cowan	0.3%	0¢	—	6.5%	9¢	-2.5%	56.9%	59¢
76	Chandler Blanchet	0.3%	0¢	—	5.8%	8¢	-2.2%	55.8%	58¢
77	Mark Hubbard	0.3%	0¢	—	5.7%	8¢	-2.3%	56.3%	59¢
78	Trent Phillips	0.3%	0¢	—	5.4%	7¢	-1.6%	54.7%	57¢
79	Pontus Nyholm	0.3%	0¢	—	5.1%	7¢	-1.9%	52.7%	55¢
80	Justin Lower	0.2%	0¢	—	5.6%	8¢	-2.4%	56.1%	58¢
81	Joe Highsmith	0.2%	0¢	—	4.9%	7¢	-2.1%	52.0%	54¢
82	Aaron Wise	0.2%	0¢	—	4.7%	7¢	-2.3%	50.8%	53¢
83	Hank Lebioda	0.2%	0¢	—	4.5%	7¢	-2.5%	52.1%	54¢
84	Jeffrey Kang	0.2%	0¢	—	4.4%	7¢	-2.6%	51.3%	54¢
85	David Lipsky	0.2%	0¢	—	5.2%	7¢	-1.8%	55.1%	57¢
86	Garrick Higgo	0.2%	0¢	—	4.7%	7¢	-2.3%	51.2%	54¢
87	Peter Malnati	0.2%	0¢	—	4.2%	7¢	-2.8%	50.2%	53¢
88	David Skinns	0.2%	0¢	—	4.2%	6¢	-1.8%	51.7%	54¢
89	Cam Davis	0.2%	0¢	—	4.2%	7¢	-2.8%	48.7%	51¢
90	Andrew Putnam	0.2%	0¢	—	4.7%	7¢	-2.3%	55.7%	58¢
91	Adam Svensson	0.2%	0¢	—	3.9%	6¢	-2.1%	51.8%	54¢
92	Tyler Duncan	0.2%	0¢	—	4.0%	7¢	-3.0%	51.5%	54¢
93	Jimmy Stanger	0.2%	0¢	—	3.4%	6¢	-2.6%	46.1%	48¢
94	Ben Martin	0.2%	0¢	—	3.8%	6¢	-2.2%	50.8%	53¢
95	Will Gordon	0.2%	0¢	—	3.3%	6¢	-2.7%	46.9%	49¢
96	Harry Higgs	0.1%	0¢	—	3.2%	6¢	-2.8%	46.8%	49¢
97	Rafael Campos	0.1%	0¢	—	3.1%	5¢	-1.9%	46.2%	49¢
98	Omar Morales	0.1%	0¢	—	2.4%	4¢	-1.6%	40.7%	43¢
99	Patton Kizzire	0.1%	0¢	—	2.7%	5¢	-2.3%	45.6%	48¢
100	Paul Peterson	0.1%	0¢	—	3.6%	6¢	-2.4%	52.5%	55¢
101	Vince Whaley	0.1%	0¢	—	2.5%	5¢	-2.5%	45.3%	47¢
102	Nick Dunlap	0.1%	0¢	—	2.7%	5¢	-2.3%	45.3%	47¢
103	C.T. Pan	0.1%	0¢	—	2.5%	5¢	-2.5%	43.3%	46¢
104	Christo Lamprecht	0.1%	0¢	—	2.0%	4¢	-2.0%	38.0%	40¢
105	Garrett Endicott	0.1%	0¢	—	2.0%	4¢	-2.0%	40.1%	42¢
106	Brian Campbell	0.1%	0¢	—	2.3%	4¢	-1.7%	43.4%	46¢
107	Kensei Hirata	0.0%	0¢	—	1.7%	4¢	-2.3%	40.1%	42¢
108	Camilo Villegas	0.0%	0¢	—	1.3%	3¢	-1.7%	37.3%	39¢
109	Marcelo Rozo	0.0%	0¢	—	1.2%	4¢	-2.8%	35.2%	37¢
110	Cameron Tankersley	0.0%	0¢	—	0.9%	4¢	-3.1%	32.3%	35¢
111	Gerardo Gomez	0.0%	0¢	—	1.1%	3¢	-1.8%	33.0%	35¢
112	Mauricio Figueroa	0.0%	0¢	—	0.5%	4¢	-3.5%	22.6%	24¢
113	Tayler Termeer	0.0%	0¢	—	0.2%	4¢	-3.8%	13.6%	16¢
114	Eli Ortego	0.0%	0¢	—	0.1%	3¢	-2.9%	12.1%	15¢
115	Aaron Baddeley	0.0%	0¢	—	0.1%	3¢	-2.9%	16.6%	19¢
116	Alejandro Fierro	0.0%	0¢	—	0.1%	3¢	-2.9%	11.0%	13¢

#	PLAYER	MARKET	SIDE	PRICE	IMPLIED	MODEL	BOOKS	EDGE	RATING
1	Adrien Dumont De Chassart	MAKE CUT	YES	51¢	51%	63%	64%	+12.1pt	BUY
2	David Skinns	TOP 20	NO	87¢	87%	90%	87%	+2.7pt	PASS
3	Johnny Keefer	TOP 10	NO	75¢	75%	78%	72%	+2.5pt	PASS
4	Johnny Keefer	TOP 20	NO	60¢	60%	62%	55%	+2.4pt	PASS

Adrien Dumont De Chassart MAKE CUT YES +12.1pt NO BOOKS THIN MARKET

T112 — 47 spots outside · DG: 62.8%

Buy 20 contracts at 51¢ · Win +$9.80 / Lose -$10.34

TRADE →

TRADE THE EDGE

Open an account and start trading prediction markets today.

TRADE ON KALSHI — GET $25

No actionable plays right now. Edges found but payout ratios are too thin to justify the risk.

🌬 CONDITIONS — CRITICAL CONTEXT

📡 LIVE: 85.5°F · Wind 5mph SSW (gusts 13) Patton Kizzire leads at E.

POS	PLAYER	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOTAL	PLAYED	NOTES
1	Patton Kizzire	—	—	—	—	E	— played	Co-leader
2	David Lipsky	—	—	—	—	E	— played	In contention
3	Patrick Rodgers	—	—	—	—	E	— played	In contention
4	Denny McCarthy	—	—	—	—	E	— played	In contention
5	Danny Walker	—	—	—	—	E	— played	In contention
6	Austin Eckroat	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
7	Camilo Villegas	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
8	Mark Hubbard	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
9	Erik van Rooyen	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
10	Jordan Smith	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
11	Zach Bauchou	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
12	Nick Dunlap	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
13	Aaron Baddeley	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
14	Emiliano Grillo	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
15	Beau Hossler	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
16	Justin Lower	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
17	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
18	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
19	Tony Finau	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
20	Max Homa	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
21	Corey Conners	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
22	Taylor Pendrith	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
23	Aaron Wise	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
24	Steven Fisk	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
25	Joel Dahmen	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
26	Davis Riley	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
27	Cam Davis	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
28	Andrew Novak	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
29	Ben Griffin	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
30	Aldrich Potgieter	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
31	Ben Martin	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
32	Harry Higgs	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
33	Tyler Duncan	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
34	Taylor Moore	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
35	Kevin Roy	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
36	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
37	Peter Malnati	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
38	Chad Ramey	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
39	Rico Hoey	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
40	Hank Lebioda	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
41	Lee Hodges	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
42	Pierceson Coody	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
43	Isaiah Salinda	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
44	Chandler Blanchet	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
45	Cameron Tankersley	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
46	Santiago de la Fuente	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
47	A.J. Ewart	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
48	David Ford	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
49	Trace Crowe	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
50	Tayler Termeer	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
51	John VanDerLaan	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
52	Trent Phillips	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
53	Kensei Hirata	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
54	Gordon Sargent	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
55	Paul Peterson	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
56	Christo Lamprecht	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
57	Marco Penge	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
58	Ben James	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
59	John Daly II	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
60	Eli Ortego	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
61	John Parry	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
62	Andrew Putnam	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
63	Max McGreevy	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
64	Vince Whaley	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
65	Takumi Kanaya	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
66	Dylan Wu	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
67	Rafael Campos	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
68	Chan Kim	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
69	Mackenzie Hughes	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
70	Ben Silverman	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
71	Zac Blair	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
72	Adam Svensson	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
73	Brice Garnett	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
74	David Skinns	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
75	Doug Ghim	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
76	Chandler Phillips	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
77	Jackson Suber	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
78	Johnny Keefer	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
79	Brian Campbell	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
80	Wyndham Clark	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
81	Kevin Yu	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
82	Tom Kim	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
83	Joe Highsmith	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
84	Karl Vilips	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
85	Kevin Streelman	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
86	Billy Horschel	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
87	Alvaro Ortiz	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
88	Garrick Higgo	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
89	Harry Hall	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
90	William Mouw	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
91	C.T. Pan	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
92	Matthieu Pavon	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
93	Max Greyserman	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
94	Rasmus Højgaard	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
95	Will Gordon	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
96	Mac Meissner	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
97	Marcelo Rozo	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
98	Zecheng Dou	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
99	Pontus Nyholm	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
100	Davis Chatfield	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
101	Neal Shipley	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
102	Ryder Cowan	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
103	Hayden Springer	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
104	Jeffrey Kang	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
105	Blades Brown	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
106	Luke Clanton	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
107	Kihei Akina	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
108	Mauricio Figueroa Ramirez	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
109	Haotong Li	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
110	Jimmy Stanger	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
111	Alejandro Tosti	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
112	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
113	Gerardo Gomez	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
114	Alejandro Fierro	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
115	Kristoffer Ventura	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
116	Patrick Fishburn	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
117	Jesper Svensson	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
118	Keita Nakajima	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
119	Omar Morales	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back
120	Garrett Endicott	—	—	—	—	E	— played	0 back

TROPICAL LAYOUTWATER HAZARDSAPPROACH PRECISIONHUMIDITY FACTOR

ARCHITECTGreg Norman

PAR / YARDS71 / 7,144

GREENSBermuda

KEY SKILLApproach

SCORING TYPEBIRDIE FEST

WIND EXPOSURELOW

ROUGH SEVERITYMEDIUM

AVG PAR-3185 YDS

AVG WINNER-23

TYPICAL CUT+8

    COURSE OVERVIEWLIVE
  

COURSE SIGNATURE BIRDIE FEST

SCORING RHYTHM ▲ bogey holes ▼ birdie holes

POLAR ROUTING WHEEL P3 P4 P5

HOLE MOSAIC easy → neutral → hard

OTT

APP

OTT

PUTT

OTT

APP

PUTT

OTT

PUTT

APP

OTT

APP

OTT

VITAL STATS

7,144

YARDS

PAR

    4x P3 ·
    11x P4 ·
    3x P5
  

-23

AVG WINNER

WIND

ROUGH

27%

AVG BIRDIE RATE

14%

AVG BOGEY+ RATE

TYPICAL CUT

Bermuda

GREEN TYPE

COURSE PROFILE — VIDANTA VALLARTA

Tropical resort layout in heavy humidity. Water hazards and tight fairways demand precise driving. Approach accuracy into small Bermuda greens separates the field.

    RECENT WINNERS SG: APPROACH
  

YEAR	WINNER	SCORE	SG: APPROACH
2025	Thomas Detry	-25	+1.00
2024	Carlos Ortiz	-22	+0.80
2023	Tony Finau	-23	+0.90

PRIMARY SKILL SG: Approach

SECONDARY SKILL SG: Around the Green

GREENS Bermuda

PAR / YARDAGE Par 71 · 7,144 yds

AVG PAR-3 YARDAGE 185 yds

    HOLE-BY-HOLE SCORECARD
    
       HARD
       MED
       EASY

FRONT NINE

OTT

APP

OTT

PUTT

OTT

APP

PUTT

BACK NINE

PUTT

OTT

PUTT

APP

OTT

APP

OTT

    COURSE DEMAND SIGNATURE
  

OTT

57%

PUTT

25%

APP

18%

ARG

    TOP FIT — SKILL OVERLAY
    
      ■ course demand
      ■ player skill

Scottie Scheffler

FIT: 61%

Xander Schauffele

FIT: 59%

Rory McIlroy

FIT: 59%

    FIELD FIT RANKINGS ● = has opportunity
  

#	PLAYER	FIT SCORE	%
#1	Adrien Dumont De Chassart●		60%

    PLAYER-COURSE FIT MATRIX
    
       TOP 25%
       25-50%
       50-75%
       BTM 25%
    
    ● = has opportunity
  

#	PLAYER	OTT	APP	ARG	PUTT	TOT	FIT
#1	Scottie Scheffler
#2	Ludvig Aberg
#3	Patrick Cantlay
#4	Si Woo Kim
#5	Xander Schauffele
#6	Rory McIlroy
#7	Cameron Young
#8	Matt Fitzpatrick
#9	Tommy Fleetwood
#10	Chris Gotterup
#11	Joaquin Niemann
#12	Sam Burns
#13	Tom Kim
#14	Ryan Gerard
#15	Hideki Matsuyama
#16	J.J. Spaun
#17	Adam Scott
#18	Justin Thomas
#19	Collin Morikawa
#20	Ben Griffin

    HOLE-BY-HOLE FIT HEATMAP
    
       STRONG
       GOOD
       NEUTRAL
       WEAK
    
  

PLAYER	1 OTT	2 OTT	3 APP	4 OTT	5 PUTT	6 PUTT	7 OTT	8 APP	9 PUTT	10 PUTT	11 OTT	12 PUTT	13 APP	14 OTT	15 OTT	16 APP	17 OTT	18 OTT	MATCH
Scottie Scheffler																			18/18
Xander Schauffele																			18/18
Rory McIlroy																			18/18
Chris Gotterup																			18/18
Cameron Young																			18/18
Michael Brennan																			18/18
Ludvig Aberg																			18/18
Ryan Gerard																			18/18
Doug Ghim																			18/18
Joaquin Niemann																			18/18
Collin Morikawa																			18/18
Sam Burns																			18/18
Jon Rahm																			18/18
Keith Mitchell																			18/18
Bryson DeChambeau																			18/18
Si Woo Kim																			18/18
Russell Henley																			18/18
Patrick Cantlay																			18/18
Adam Scott																			18/18
Daniel Hillier																			18/18

#	SG: APPROACH LEADERS ● = has opportunity	SG VALUE
#1	Scottie Scheffler	+1.18
#2	Patrick Cantlay	+0.96
#3	Ludvig Aberg	+0.89
#4	Si Woo Kim	+0.85
#5	Joaquin Niemann	+0.83
#6	Rory McIlroy	+0.78
#7	Xander Schauffele	+0.74
#8	Adam Scott	+0.74
#9	Tom Kim	+0.73
#10	Ryan Gerard	+0.69
#11	Adrien Dumont De Chassart	-0.14

#	SG: AROUND THE GREEN LEADERS ● = has opportunity	SG VALUE
#1	Justin Thomas	+0.49
#2	Jason Day	+0.37
#3	Matt Fitzpatrick	+0.36
#4	Scottie Scheffler	+0.35
#5	Cameron Smith	+0.34
#6	Hideki Matsuyama	+0.34
#7	Mackenzie Hughes	+0.32
#8	Stephan Jaeger	+0.31
#9	Nick Taylor	+0.30
#10	Tommy Fleetwood	+0.29
#11	Adrien Dumont De Chassart	+0.21

OPEN POSITIONS

No open positions tracked yet this tournament.